Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.137717 2.474873 2.845430 3.282585 3.783895 4.340488 5.005043
2025-02-16 1.588901 2.010407 2.513685 3.157681 3.958673 4.920949 6.163602
2025-02-23 1.196148 1.637779 2.205196 2.985103 4.026538 5.366374 7.217938
2025-03-02 0.910981 1.340006 1.929017 2.792452 4.021089 5.701115 8.166485
2025-03-09 0.753785 1.182887 1.808215 2.779315 4.241679 6.352337 9.618318
2025-03-16 0.615126 1.025136 1.656599 2.690846 4.331481 6.819412 10.859763
2025-03-23 0.556308 0.978588 1.661958 2.835684 4.785689 7.874977 13.110407
2025-03-30 0.497507 0.920715 1.638093 2.926112 5.160024 8.845460 15.342052
2025-04-06 0.434794 0.844591 1.570586 2.930114 5.385889 9.595042 17.294548
2025-04-13 0.360625 0.734616 1.426426 2.776254 5.312825 9.824363 18.377546
2025-04-20 0.330148 0.701985 1.417063 2.864658 5.682819 10.863288 21.002085
2025-04-27 0.311041 0.688461 1.441128 3.018074 6.190615 12.203626 24.323243
2025-05-04 0.281486 0.649928 1.413238 3.071039 6.522611 13.276039 27.310414
2025-05-11 0.253119 0.609189 1.374943 3.097544 6.805914 14.289732 30.309711
2025-05-18 0.219314 0.550336 1.289428 3.011615 6.844908 14.822822 32.410872
2025-05-25 0.186122 0.486815 1.183595 2.864646 6.731425 15.026285 33.848740
2025-06-01 0.168456 0.457774 1.151491 2.879411 6.975367 16.007881 37.050346
2025-06-08 0.147602 0.416895 1.085222 2.804192 7.003760 16.524291 39.293992
2025-06-15 0.142244 0.415648 1.115005 2.965073 7.605690 18.382672 44.753394
2025-06-22 0.134057 0.405279 1.120329 3.065690 8.075028 19.989925 49.813203
2025-06-29 0.122325 0.382848 1.091106 3.073571 8.315786 21.089464 53.801113
2025-07-06 0.104993 0.340907 1.003458 2.914550 8.111442 21.100552 55.171440
2025-07-13 0.099449 0.333333 1.008862 3.008446 8.578246 22.805885 60.899449